Data and Programs for "Female and Male Homicide Victimization Rates: Comparing Trends and Regressors" by Thomas Marvell and Carlisle Moody, in Criminology, November 1999. Thomas B. Marvell, Justec Research, 155 Ridings Cove, Williamsburg, VA 23185 757 229 9772 marvell@home.com Carlisle Moody, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary, Williamsburg, VA 23185. 757 221 2373 (fax) 221 2390 cemood@wm.edu Please feel free to contact us if you have questions. This document contains 1) a list of variables, 2) the data set in two parts, and 3) the SAS6 program used. VTRMNW nonwhite male homicide victimization rate (per 100,000) VTRMW white male " " " " VTRFNW nonwhite female " " " " VTRFW white female " " " " UNRATE unemployment rate RTPI real personal income per capita CPI consumer price index RWELPA real public assistance welfare per capita FEMLF female labor force (percent employed) DIV divorces per 100,000 persons P15T17 percent 15 to 17 years old P18T24 percent 18 to 24 P25T34 percent 25 to 34 P35T44 percent 35 to 44 PRISON number of prisoners per 100,000 persons, average of current and prior year EXEC executions per 1,000,000,000 persons, average of current and prior year MILPER military personal per 100,000 persons YEAR VTRMNW VTRMW VTRFNW VTRFW UNRATE RTPI CPI RWELPA 28 64.4 8.2 14.5 2.1 . . . . 29 60.7 7.9 14.6 2.2 3.2 1345.80 0.513 0.96 30 62.4 8.9 14.7 2.4 8.7 1222.46 0.500 1.27 31 66.3 9.3 14.9 2.3 15.9 1137.69 0.456 2.90 32 63.9 9.3 15.0 2.2 23.6 960.22 0.409 5.01 33 70.7 9.7 14.5 2.4 24.9 942.82 0.388 14.14 34 74.2 9.2 15.0 2.2 21.7 1041.04 0.401 49.95 35 67.2 7.7 14.0 2.0 20.1 1136.25 0.411 57.32 36 66.7 6.9 15.6 1.9 16.9 1273.86 0.415 57.94 37 62.7 6.5 14.3 2.0 14.3 1319.31 0.430 62.03 38 56.4 5.8 13.2 1.7 19.0 1229.01 0.422 59.01 39 56.0 5.3 13.8 1.4 17.2 1317.96 0.416 77.69 40 55.5 5.0 13.0 1.4 14.6 1393.28 0.420 64.90 41 55.0 4.5 12.6 1.3 9.9 1608.26 0.441 59.89 42 53.5 4.4 12.1 1.3 4.7 1843.97 0.488 42.26 43 42.5 4.2 9.9 1.2 1.9 2115.06 0.518 22.21 44 44.1 4.0 9.7 1.2 1.2 2248.95 0.527 14.61 45 48.0 4.9 10.7 1.3 1.9 2273.81 0.539 14.34 46 54.4 4.9 12.4 1.5 3.9 2133.28 0.585 13.99 47 51.5 4.8 11.9 1.5 3.9 1963.12 0.669 15.00 48 51.0 4.5 11.7 1.5 3.8 1970.40 0.721 16.16 49 45.8 4.1 11.4 1.4 5.9 1927.85 0.714 19.68 50 45.5 3.9 11.2 1.4 5.3 2075.94 0.721 22.79 51 41.3 3.6 10.7 1.4 3.3 2131.09 0.778 21.64 52 45.4 3.7 10.8 1.3 3.0 2189.65 0.795 20.79 53 41.3 3.5 9.6 1.4 2.9 2269.43 0.801 21.43 54 40.6 3.5 9.5 1.4 5.5 2238.81 0.805 21.39 55 36.9 3.4 9.5 1.2 4.4 2365.61 0.802 22.69 56 37.1 3.3 10.3 1.3 4.1 2458.84 0.814 22.77 57 36.5 3.2 9.2 1.3 4.3 2462.47 0.843 22.93 58 34.9 3.4 9.3 1.4 6.8 2444.61 0.866 23.97 59 35.0 3.5 9.4 1.4 5.5 2541.49 0.873 25.85 60 34.5 3.6 9.9 1.4 5.5 2566.04 0.887 25.69 61 33.6 3.6 8.9 1.5 6.7 2604.55 0.896 27.11 62 35.6 3.8 8.9 1.6 5.5 2696.82 0.906 29.39 63 35.7 3.9 9.1 1.5 5.7 2759.44 0.917 30.65 64 37.5 3.9 9.2 1.6 5.2 2877.88 0.929 31.78 65 40.1 4.4 10.0 1.6 4.5 3023.97 0.945 34.26 66 43.5 4.5 10.6 1.8 3.8 3162.45 0.972 38.42 67 49.6 5.3 11.9 1.9 3.8 3268.90 1.000 44.64 68 54.6 5.9 11.6 1.9 3.6 3410.28 1.042 53.40 69 58.1 6.0 11.7 2.0 3.5 3497.12 1.098 60.80 70 60.8 6.8 12.3 2.1 4.9 3505.42 1.163 69.56 71 67.0 7.3 13.9 2.3 5.9 3566.84 1.213 84.75 72 70.1 7.7 13.4 2.3 5.6 3749.92 1.253 99.45 73 65.8 8.3 14.6 2.8 4.9 3914.75 1.331 101.99 74 67.2 8.9 14.5 2.8 5.6 3843.23 1.477 100.07 75 62.6 9.1 13.8 2.9 8.5 3784.40 1.612 119.33 76 55.8 8.3 12.5 2.7 7.7 3923.77 1.705 131.91 77 53.6 8.7 12.0 2.9 7.1 4040.79 1.815 134.55 78 52.8 9.2 11.8 2.9 6.1 4194.30 1.954 137.91 79 57.4 10.1 12.5 3.0 5.8 4194.29 2.174 133.65 80 57.8 10.9 12.1 3.2 7.1 4077.02 2.468 129.64 81 55.5 10.4 11.4 3.1 7.6 4090.99 2.724 133.80 82 50.2 9.6 10.6 3.1 9.7 4056.98 2.891 122.74 83 43.7 8.6 10.0 2.8 9.6 4150.09 2.984 127.03 84 40.9 8.3 9.8 2.9 7.5 4367.78 3.111 126.83 85 40.5 8.2 9.5 2.9 7.2 4484.02 3.222 128.30 86 45.7 8.6 10.5 3.0 7.0 4623.84 3.284 132.14 87 43.9 7.9 10.7 3.0 6.2 4697.29 3.404 135.91 88 47.5 7.9 11.2 2.9 5.5 4815.70 3.543 138.14 89 49.8 8.2 11.0 2.8 5.3 4894.15 3.713 140.34 90 54.8 9.0 11.1 2.8 5.5 4904.52 3.913 150.44 91 56.8 9.3 11.8 3.0 6.7 4828.01 4.078 176.39 92 52.9 9.1 10.7 2.8 7.4 4910.93 4.201 194.11 93 54.7 8.6 11.1 3.0 6.9 4938.82 4.326 198.23 94 50.9 8.5 10.0 2.6 6.1 4998.97 4.437 203.44 95 44.1 7.8 9.1 2.7 5.6 5116.74 4.563 208.26 YEAR FEMLF DIV P15T17 P18T24 P25T34 P35T44 PRISON EXEC MILPER 28 . . . . . . . . . 29 27.0 169.17 5.70 12.49 15.56 13.90 104.86 1020.44 209.41 30 25.7 159.25 5.69 12.58 15.47 14.03 110.76 1048.52 208.00 31 23.8 151.57 5.66 12.57 15.51 14.04 117.22 1254.51 203.97 32 21.9 131.37 5.63 12.57 15.61 14.02 120.06 1217.57 196.25 33 21.9 131.39 5.61 12.56 15.73 13.99 118.68 1233.79 194.30 34 23.3 161.43 5.61 12.56 15.84 13.96 118.01 1297.82 195.45 35 24.2 171.31 5.63 12.54 15.93 13.92 120.34 1430.85 198.03 36 25.6 184.30 5.68 12.52 16.01 13.89 122.45 1539.36 227.25 37 26.8 193.29 5.73 12.51 16.09 13.87 124.12 1351.38 242.19 38 25.7 187.95 5.72 12.50 16.14 13.87 128.33 1310.14 248.80 39 26.7 191.77 5.69 12.51 16.18 13.89 133.13 1342.93 255.19 40 27.9 200.07 5.61 12.58 16.23 13.94 132.58 1088.73 347.09 41 28.5 219.61 5.49 12.55 16.26 14.01 126.08 930.82 1349.90 42 30.9 238.36 5.37 12.49 16.25 14.05 116.36 1006.74 2865.52 43 35.7 266.52 5.26 12.34 16.23 14.06 105.46 1039.48 6715.07 44 36.3 298.34 5.16 12.18 16.27 14.09 99.06 937.48 8541.49 45 35.8 363.60 4.99 11.95 16.25 14.14 98.11 919.84 9088.59 46 30.8 433.74 4.81 11.73 16.23 14.20 98.37 934.68 2154.47 47 31.8 336.20 4.68 11.37 16.12 14.17 100.78 1005.03 1101.87 48 32.7 279.28 4.47 11.12 16.02 14.18 104.17 946.85 989.79 49 33.2 267.04 4.27 10.86 15.91 14.20 106.36 804.02 1086.33 50 33.9 253.50 4.12 10.55 15.78 14.21 107.57 676.85 961.34 51 34.7 247.45 4.08 10.19 15.61 14.15 106.30 601.24 2110.15 52 34.8 250.69 4.07 9.82 15.42 14.09 105.27 586.99 2325.27 53 34.5 245.37 4.05 9.52 15.19 14.01 105.93 457.18 2236.61 54 34.6 234.12 4.06 9.26 14.92 13.90 108.48 454.54 2039.77 55 35.7 228.40 4.09 9.02 14.63 13.81 110.04 495.67 1778.16 56 36.9 227.28 4.13 8.87 14.28 13.77 109.90 432.67 1669.46 57 36.9 222.58 4.25 8.78 13.86 13.72 110.56 394.91 1633.39 58 37.1 211.31 4.54 8.76 13.45 13.61 112.94 345.10 1493.51 59 37.2 222.99 4.67 8.82 13.03 13.51 114.49 284.69 1413.60 60 37.7 218.37 4.68 8.93 12.69 13.41 114.46 296.71 1375.21 61 38.1 226.26 4.48 9.26 12.35 13.28 115.55 273.08 1357.01 62 38.0 222.36 4.94 9.48 12.06 13.14 115.16 244.02 1510.72 63 38.3 227.14 5.26 9.65 11.84 12.99 112.54 182.24 1432.33 64 38.7 235.50 5.59 9.79 11.67 12.80 109.58 94.97 1405.66 65 39.3 247.60 5.39 10.44 11.56 12.58 106.47 57.34 1371.88 66 40.3 255.24 5.41 10.88 11.56 12.35 101.42 20.65 1581.59 67 41.1 264.98 5.47 11.24 11.65 12.10 96.22 7.62 1709.94 68 41.6 293.01 5.58 11.40 11.95 11.82 94.10 5.07 1779.12 69 42.7 317.44 5.68 11.71 12.18 11.54 94.17 0.00 1717.85 70 43.3 347.40 5.77 12.05 12.35 11.30 94.10 0.00 1503.93 71 43.1 373.76 5.84 12.26 12.46 11.06 94.64 0.00 1311.78 72 44.2 403.77 5.91 12.29 13.12 10.88 94.73 0.00 1109.54 73 44.7 432.93 5.96 12.45 13.62 10.76 95.16 0.00 1065.54 74 45.7 457.97 5.99 12.63 14.09 10.66 99.51 0.00 1013.43 75 46.3 480.84 5.94 12.87 14.53 10.56 107.04 0.00 987.67 76 47.4 497.81 5.92 13.05 14.99 10.59 116.24 0.00 957.00 77 48.4 496.45 5.85 13.16 15.40 10.69 125.50 2.28 944.21 78 50.0 508.78 5.77 13.22 15.67 10.97 131.65 2.28 928.42 79 50.9 525.91 5.63 13.27 16.04 11.18 133.87 4.45 902.64 80 51.5 523.27 5.45 13.25 16.47 11.36 136.88 4.45 902.63 81 52.1 528.62 5.21 13.18 16.95 11.50 146.85 2.18 907.76 82 52.6 505.04 4.96 13.02 17.01 12.10 163.04 6.50 910.37 83 52.9 495.31 4.75 12.80 17.20 12.52 175.93 15.01 908.07 84 53.6 495.71 4.66 12.49 17.37 12.93 185.01 55.22 906.60 85 54.5 500.16 4.66 12.15 17.52 13.32 196.52 82.35 904.07 86 55.3 490.56 4.72 11.75 17.65 13.75 211.39 75.31 903.25 87 56.0 481.24 4.62 11.43 17.68 14.13 226.48 89.07 897.28 88 56.6 477.30 4.42 11.19 17.64 14.39 242.50 74.09 874.44 89 57.4 468.76 4.15 11.00 17.52 14.75 266.10 54.91 862.98 90 57.5 473.94 4.03 10.76 17.30 15.14 290.42 78.52 819.57 91 57.4 471.63 3.98 10.46 17.00 15.58 310.71 73.88 787.78 92 57.8 476.46 4.01 10.20 16.62 15.65 331.12 88.55 708.62 93 57.9 460.46 4.03 10.01 16.23 15.83 351.70 134.49 661.41 94 58.8 457.45 4.11 9.78 15.86 16.01 376.85 133.24 618.77 95 58.9 444.67 4.20 9.58 15.53 16.19 402.49 166.04 579.33 The program in SAS6: EXEC=EXEC+1; ARRAY VARS VTRMNW VTRMW VTRFNW VTRFW UNRATE RTPI CPI RWELPA FEMLF DIV P15T17 P18T24 P25T34 P35T44 PRISON EXEC MILPER; ARRAY LOGS LVTRMNW LVTRMW LVTRFNW LVTRFW LUNRATE LRTPI LCPI LRWELPA LFEMLF LDIV LP15T17 LP18T24 LP25T34 LP35T44 LPRISON LEXEC LMILPER; DO OVER LOGS; LOGS=LOG(VARS); LOGS=DIF(LOGS); END; WAR=0; IF YEAR GT 41 THEN DO; IF YEAR LT 46 THEN WAR=1; END; WAR2=0; IF YEAR=44 THEN WAR2=1; IF YEAR=43 THEN WAR2=1; CRACK=YEAR-84; IF YEAR LT 85 THEN CRACK=0; IF YEAR GT 91 THEN CRACK=7; ARRAY FORDIF WAR WAR2 CRACK; DO OVER FORDIF; FORDIF=DIF(FORDIF); END; ARRAY VARS3 LVTRMNW LVTRMW LVTRFNW LVTRFW; ARRAY LAGS LVTRMNW1 LVTRMW1 LVTRFNW1 LVTRFW1; DO OVER LAGS; LAGS=LAG(VARS3); END; TREND = YEAR-27; PROC SYSLIN SUR; A:MODEL LVTRMNW=LVTRMNW1 /* OR LVTRMW=LVTRMW1 */ TREND LUNRATE LRTPI LCPI LRWELPA LFEMLF LDIV LP15T17 LP18T24 LP25T34 LPRISON LEXEC LMILPER WAR WAR2 CRACK; B:MODEL LVTRFNW=LVTRFNW1 /* OR LVTRFW=LVTRFW1 */ TREND LUNRATE LRTPI LCPI LRWELPA LFEMLF LDIV LP15T17 LP18T24 LP25T34 LPRISON LEXEC LMILPER WAR WAR2 CRACK; STEST A.LUNRATE=B.LUNRATE; STEST A.LRTPI=B.LRTPI; STEST A.LCPI =B.LCPI; STEST A.LRWELPA=B.LRWELPA; STEST A.LFEMLF =B.LFEMLF; STEST A.LDIV=B.LDIV; STEST A.LP15T17=B.LP15T17; STEST A.LP18T24=B.LP18T24; STEST A.LP25T34 =B.LP25T34; STEST A.LPRISON=B.LPRISON; STEST A.LEXEC=B.LEXEC; STEST A.LMILPER=B.LMILPER; STEST A.WAR=B.WAR; STEST A.WAR2=B.WAR2; STEST A.CRACK =B.CRACK; STEST A.LUNRATE=B.LUNRATE, A.LRTPI=B.LRTPI, A.LCPI=B.LCPI, A.LRWELPA=B.LRWELPA, A.LFEMLF=B.LFEMLF, A.LDIV=B.LDIV, A.LP15T17=B.LP15T17, A.LP18T24=B.LP18T24, A.LP25T34=B.LP25T34, A.LPRISON=B.LPRISON, A.LEXEC=B.LEXEC, A.LMILPER=B.LMILPER, A.WAR=B.WAR, A.WAR2=B.WAR2, A.CRACK=B.CRACK;